Abraham Thomas on AI in finance
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Abraham Thomas argues that the finance industry does not use AI enough, and that “the missing ingredient for finance is data quality.” Finance lags software, law, sales and marketing, and even education and healthcare in AI adoption. The accuracy finance demands collides with LLM outputs that are “horribly plausible”, a pattern he calls “careless in, convincing out”. His broader view is that AI makes data more valuable, and makes trust in data (provenance, verification, grounding) essential. When intelligence is abundant, he argues, “the scarce asset is now trust”, and finance avoids AI “precisely because AI elides trust”.
Thomas is the founder and CEO of Windkey.ai, building at the intersection of finance, data, trust, and AI. His perspective comes from nearly three decades in finance and data: building an early automated trading system for US Treasuries at the hedge fund Simplex, co-founding the alternative-data company Quandl, and writing Pivotal on finance, AI, data, and startups.
Key ideas
| Idea | In one line | Essay |
|---|---|---|
| Trust is the scarce asset | When AI makes intelligence abundant, trust becomes scarce and valuable | Trust Is The Scarce Asset |
| Finance avoids AI because AI elides trust | Finance is built on trust; LLMs erode the protections it relies on | Trust Is The Scarce Asset |
| Five ways to rebuild trust | Costly signals, third-party evaluations, enforcement, accountable humans, repeated games | Trust Is The Scarce Asset |
| Trust-first institutions | “Source-of-trust is the new source-of-truth” | Trust Is The Scarce Asset |
| Finance lags in AI adoption | Behind software, law, sales and marketing, education and healthcare | Looks, Brains, and Money |
| Data quality is the missing ingredient | Many “AI failures” in finance are really data-quality failures | Looks, Brains, and Money |
| Careless in, convincing out | LLMs turn sloppy inputs into confident, plausible outputs | Looks, Brains, and Money |
| Fewer but better inputs | Keep close control of a small number of high-quality inputs | Looks, Brains, and Money |
| Contamination | Never let AI write to your sources of truth; errors persist and propagate | Looks, Brains, and Money |
| The data quality ladder | Quality is granular, aggregate, fitness for purpose, and business outcome | On Data Quality |
| AI makes data more valuable | Data and software are complementary inputs, and AI made software cheap | Data in the Age of AI |
| The confidence chain | Signatures, provenance, identity, quality, curation | Data in the Age of AI |
| Systems of agents | Systems of record store data, systems of action help humans act on it, systems of agents act on it themselves | Data and Defensibility |
Why is finance slow to adopt AI?
Thomas’s first answer is trust. “Finance is trust”: costly signals, neutral ratings, self-imposed enforcement and reputation protection exist in finance, and many were invented there. LLMs erode these protections through polished but wrong output, unearned authority and hard-to-detect fakes, so the industry rationally chose not to engage. Avoidance isn’t permanent, though: “Whoever unlocks AI in finance unlocks trillions in value.” His prescription is trust-first institutions, as OpenEvidence and Harvey have built in medicine and law. Details: Trust Is The Scarce Asset (summary).
His second answer is data quality. The finance industry, which Thomas calls “my industry”, needs accuracy above all, and LLM output is fluent, confident, and sometimes wrong in ways that are hard to detect. In his case study of a CFO preparing a board pack with AI, every failure (a skipped line in a parsed PDF, an outdated contract, an invented FX rate, context rot, generic commentary) is ultimately a data-quality failure. “And they can be fixed if you fix data quality.” Details: Looks, Brains, and Money (summary).
How can finance professionals use AI safely?
- Inputs: curate ruthlessly; ground everything in model-independent sources of truth; watch for hidden handoffs between AI tools; stay current; inspect raw material; beware sycophancy and context rot.
- Outputs: demand grounding; make the model show its work; ask for dissent; learn the telltale signs of AI output in financial work (spurious precision, unit errors, inconsistency, suspiciously clean results, no sense of materiality).
- Judgement: beware fluency, reward-hacking, false precision, flattening, and anchoring; keep humans in the loop.
- Systems: avoid contaminating ledgers, CRMs and handbooks with AI output; quarantine proprietary data.
He is optimistic: for the tasks they are tuned for, LLMs “feel like magic”, and the goal is to “steer, don’t fear.”
How does AI change the value of financial data?
- AI raises the value of data, especially unique, latent, and high-quality data. BloombergGPT is his example of a data owner using AI to extend its franchise (Data in the Age of AI).
- AI is a new buyer of data alongside finance and adtech, with different needs: hedge funds care about accuracy and precision, AI builders about structure and scale (How to Price a Data Asset).
- LLMs weaken brute-force data collection as a moat, except in industries such as finance, where the last 1% of accuracy or coverage still matters (Data and Defensibility).
Has Thomas automated financial workflows before?
Yes. In the late 1990s and early 2000s at Simplex, he helped build a proto-high-frequency trading system for US Treasuries. It automated a market where most trading was still done by phone: it parsed dealer quotes and trade tickets, ran yield-curve models, and executed and hedged trades within seconds. Of the effort to parse dealers’ free-text quotes, he wrote: “Oh what would I have given for an LLM to do that for us.” Details: Ahead of the (Yield) Curve (summary).
Essays
This page is updated as new essays on AI and finance are published.
| Essay | Published | Summary | Original |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trust Is The Scarce Asset | October 2026 | summary | Pivotal |
| Looks, Brains, and Money | August 2026 | summary | Pivotal |
| On Data Quality | June 2026 | summary | Pivotal |
| Data and Defensibility | April 2025 | summary | Pivotal |
| Ahead of the (Yield) Curve | December 2024 | summary | Pivotal |
| Data in the Age of AI | May 2023 | summary | Pivotal |